Arosa vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Arosa
54.3%
Draw
25.6%
Gran Peña
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 25.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.8% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Arosa - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.68)
    3.55
    (3.6)
    4.51
    (4.4)
    10%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1.
    • Arosa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gran Peña has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Arosa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Gran Peña were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Gran Peña - Arosa 2:2
    20.04.2025 Gran Peña - Arosa 1:2
    06.12.2024 Arosa - Gran Peña 2:2
    04.02.2024 Gran Peña - Arosa 3:0
    17.09.2023 Arosa - Gran Peña 0:0
    Latest results of Arosa
    25.01.2026 Silva SD - Arosa 1:2
    18.01.2026 Céltiga - Arosa 3:4
    11.01.2026 Arosa - Juventud Cambados 1:1
    21.12.2025 Boiro - Arosa 3:0
    14.12.2025 Arosa - Barco 2:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    18.01.2026 Gran Peña - Noia 5:0
    11.01.2026 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 1:0
    21.12.2025 Gran Peña - Barbadás 1:2
    14.12.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation