Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Remeseiro M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 2, Rey A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lugo B 31.9% | Draw 30.4% | Arosa 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Lugo B - Arosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↑ (2.78) |
2.98 ↓ (3.25) |
2.4 ↑ (2.32) |
10.5% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
- Lugo B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arosa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lugo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo B won against Arosa?
Lugo B has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Lugo B?
Arosa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo B - Arosa were as follows:
21.09.2025
Arosa
-
Lugo B
2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation