Arouca vs Boavista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca).

Liga Portugal - Round 34
Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 14

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.58
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	11
Passes
81% (334/414)	72% (200/279)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.42	1.97
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
6	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	11
Touches in opposition box
22	25
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
16	16
Passes
81% (334/414)	72% (200/279)
Long passes
53% (30/57)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)	48% (41/86)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	1.18
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
60% (9/15)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
53	49
Clearances
33	15
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.97	2.42
Goals prevented
0.97	-1.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Puche ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Trezza A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Bozenik R. ⚽, Diaby A. (A),
25', 3 - 1, Araujo H. ⚽, Weverson (A),
34', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Puche 🟨,
67', Agra S. ↓, Gomes P. ↑,
73', Araujo H. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
73', Puche ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
74', 🟨,
76', Lamba C. ↓, Rocha M. ↑,
76', Ferreira F. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
83', Weverson ↓, Dante A. ↑,
83', Pedro Santos ↓, Loum M. ↑,
84', Perez S. ↓, Lystsov V. ↑,
86', Diaby A. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Arouca
47.4%

Draw
26.2%

Boavista
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Arouca - Boavista Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.81)	3.59 ↓ (3.88)	3.55 ↓ (4.11)	5.8% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Arouca - Boavista?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Arouca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Gozalbez P. (Inactive) Rocha M. (Inactive) Simao D. (Inactive) Sylla M. (Yellow Cards) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kakay O. (Red Card) Kurzawa L. (Inactive) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Vukotic I. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Boavista?

Arouca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Arouca?

Boavista has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Boavista were as follows:

04.01.2025 Boavista - Arouca 1:3

14.04.2024 Arouca - Boavista 2:1

03.12.2023 Boavista - Arouca 0:4

26.11.2023 Arouca - Boavista 3:2

03.03.2023 Boavista - Arouca 0:0

Latest results of Arouca

10.05.2025 Gil Vicente - Arouca 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Santa Clara - Arouca 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Arouca - Estrela da Amadora 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Benfica - Arouca 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Boavista

11.05.2025 Boavista - Porto 1:2 ✺

05.05.2025 AVS - Boavista 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Boavista - Sporting Lisbon 0:5 ✺

18.04.2025 Farense - Boavista 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2