Arouca vs Boavista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Boavista
Result
4:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 34
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.58
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
81% (334/414)72% (200/279)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.421.97
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
81% (334/414)72% (200/279)
Long passes
53% (30/57)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)48% (41/86)
Crosses
27% (3/11)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.291.18
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1616
Tackles
60% (9/15)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5349
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.972.42
Goals prevented
0.97-1.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Puche ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Trezza A. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Bozenik R. , Diaby A. (A),
  • 25', 3 - 1, Araujo H. , Weverson (A),
  • 34', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Puche 🟨,
  • 67', Agra S. , Gomes P. ,
  • 73', Araujo H. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 73', Puche , Nandin D. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Lamba C. , Rocha M. ,
  • 76', Ferreira F. , Kone M. ,
  • 83', Weverson , Dante A. ,
  • 83', Pedro Santos , Loum M. ,
  • 84', Perez S. , Lystsov V. ,
  • 86', Diaby A. , Vitoria S. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Nandin D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
47.4%
Draw
26.2%
Boavista
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 24.5% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Arouca - Boavista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.81)
    3.59
    (3.88)
    3.55
    (4.11)
    5.8%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Boavista?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arouca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Gozalbez P. (Inactive) Rocha M. (Inactive) Simao D. (Inactive) Sylla M. (Yellow Cards) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
    • There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kakay O. (Red Card) Kurzawa L. (Inactive) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Vukotic I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Boavista were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Boavista - Arouca 1:3
    14.04.2024 Arouca - Boavista 2:1
    03.12.2023 Boavista - Arouca 0:4
    26.11.2023 Arouca - Boavista 3:2
    03.03.2023 Boavista - Arouca 0:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    10.05.2025 Gil Vicente - Arouca 1:1
    04.05.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:0
    26.04.2025 Santa Clara - Arouca 2:0
    13.04.2025 Benfica - Arouca 2:2
    Latest results of Boavista
    11.05.2025 Boavista - Porto 1:2
    05.05.2025 AVS - Boavista 1:2
    27.04.2025 Boavista - Sporting Lisbon 0:5
    18.04.2025 Farense - Boavista 0:1
    12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP330012:1119
    2FC Porto33009:099
    3Moreirense33005:149
    4Famalicao32104:047
    5Braga22006:066
    6Benfica22004:046
    7Gil Vicente31112:204
    8Arouca31116:10-44
    9Vitoria Guimaraes31023:7-43
    10Casa Pia31022:6-43
    11Rio Ave20204:402
    12Estrela20111:2-11
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Nacional30122:7-51
    15Santa Clara20020:4-40
    16Alverca20021:5-40
    17AFS20021:5-40
    18Tondela30030:7-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2