Result
4:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 14 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/414) | 72% (200/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/414) | 72% (200/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (51/81) | 48% (41/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | -1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Puche ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Trezza A. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 1, Bozenik R. ⚽, Diaby A. (A),
- 25', 3 - 1, Araujo H. ⚽, Weverson (A),
- 34', Silva J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Puche 🟨,
- 67', Agra S. ↓, Gomes P. ↑,
- 73', Araujo H. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 73', Puche ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', Lamba C. ↓, Rocha M. ↑,
- 76', Ferreira F. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 83', Weverson ↓, Dante A. ↑,
- 83', Pedro Santos ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 84', Perez S. ↓, Lystsov V. ↑,
- 86', Diaby A. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arouca
47.4% | Draw
26.2% | Boavista
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Arouca - Boavista Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.81) |
3.59 ↓
(3.88) |
3.55 ↓
(4.11) |
5.8%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Arouca - Boavista?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 26.7% – 80.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Boavista (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arouca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 3 - 75%). Boavista (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arouca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Gozalbez P.
(Inactive)
Rocha M.
(Inactive)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
Sylla M.
(Yellow Cards)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Kakay O.
(Red Card)
Kurzawa L.
(Inactive)
Llorente D.
(Inactive)
Machado T.
(Inactive)
Ribeiro M.
(Knee Injury)
Vukotic I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Boavista?
Arouca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Arouca?
Boavista has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Boavista were as follows:
04.01.2025
Boavista
-
Arouca
1:3
14.04.2024
Arouca
-
Boavista
2:1
03.12.2023
Boavista
-
Arouca
0:4
26.11.2023
Arouca
-
Boavista
3:2
03.03.2023
Boavista
-
Arouca
0:0
Latest results of Boavista
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
