Result
02/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arouca
32.4% | Draw
31.1% | Santa Clara
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Arouca - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.04) |
3.01 ↓
(3.2) |
2.59 ↑
(2.57) |
6%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Santa Clara?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Arouca?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Santa Clara were as follows:
21.12.2025
Santa Clara
-
Arouca
0:0
26.04.2025
Santa Clara
-
Arouca
2:0
15.12.2024
Arouca
-
Santa Clara
1:0
11.02.2023
Arouca
-
Santa Clara
1:0
16.12.2022
Santa Clara
-
Arouca
1:2
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
