Result
1:2
01/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (332/388) | 76% (210/275) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (90/122) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 31% (5/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Gozalbez P. ⚽, Weverson (A),
- 24', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 2, Araujo H. (Pen),
- 37', Daniel Penha 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Ulisses ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Ulisses 🟨,
- 59', Popovic B. 🟥,
- 64', Gozalbez P. ↓, Rocha M. ↑,
- 64', Araujo H. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 66', Ulisses ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
- 71', Esteves L. 🟨,
- 72', Fukui T. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 72', Sylla M. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 77', Bruno Costa ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 77', Joel ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 77', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 82', Simao D. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 86', Labidi C. 🟨,
- 87', Garcia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 90+7', Pedro Santos 🟨,
- 90+8', Sousa A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional
39.8% | Draw
30.1% | Arouca
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arouca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Nacional - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.65) |
3.13 ↓
(3.26) |
3.15 ↑
(2.69) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arouca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Arouca: Kouassi E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Arouca?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Nacional?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Arouca were as follows:
25.08.2024
Arouca
-
Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
