Result
1:2
03/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Portimonense
25.8% | Draw
26.8% | Arouca
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portimonense - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(2.62) |
3.53 ↑
(3.3) |
2.01 ↓
(2.62) |
5.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portimonense - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Arouca will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Portimonense: Monteiro T.
(Injury)
Varela H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Injury)
Hamache Y.
(Injury)
Montero F.
(Yellow Cards)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Arouca?
Portimonense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Portimonense?
Arouca has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Arouca were as follows:
26.08.2023
Arouca
-
Portimonense
1:1
27.05.2023
Portimonense
-
Arouca
0:2
20.01.2023
Arouca
-
Portimonense
4:0
Latest results of Portimonense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
