Portimonense vs Arouca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Portimonense - Arouca
Result
1:2
03/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20
  • Referee: Silva D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
25.8%
Draw
26.8%
Arouca
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 27.8% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.
  • Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portimonense - Arouca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (2.62)
    3.53
    (3.3)
    2.01
    (2.62)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portimonense - Arouca?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Arouca will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portimonense: Monteiro T. (Injury) Varela H. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Injury) Hamache Y. (Injury) Montero F. (Yellow Cards) Quaresma (Injury) Vitinho (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Arouca were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Arouca - Portimonense 1:1
    27.05.2023 Portimonense - Arouca 0:2
    20.01.2023 Arouca - Portimonense 4:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    28.01.2024 Boavista - Portimonense 1:4
    21.01.2024 Portimonense - Gil Vicente 0:2
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    07.01.2024 Rio Ave - Portimonense 2:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    28.01.2024 Arouca - Vizela 5:0
    20.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Arouca 1:2
    10.01.2024 Vizela - Arouca 1:0
    06.01.2024 Arouca - Benfica 0:3
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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