Arronches Benfica vs Marinhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Arronches Benfica - Marinhense
Result
1:0
23/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Arronches Benfica
39.3%
Draw
31.9%
Marinhense
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.4% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 27.3% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.
  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arronches Benfica - Marinhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.75)
    2.86
    (3.2)
    3.18
    (4.6)
    9.5%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).
    • Arronches Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Marinhense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Arronches Benfica is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arronches Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.67.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Arronches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arronches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arronches Benfica - Marinhense were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Marinhense - Arronches Benfica 2:1
    12.03.2023 Marinhense - Arronches Benfica 3:1
    27.11.2022 Arronches Benfica - Marinhense 0:0
    Latest results of Arronches Benfica
    Latest results of Marinhense
    16.02.2025 Marinhense - Elvas 0:2
    09.02.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:0
    02.02.2025 Marinhense - Pero Pinheiro 1:1
    26.01.2025 Alverca B - Marinhense 0:1
    19.01.2025 Marinhense - Sertanense 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1