Marinhense vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Vieira J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Marinhense
58.7%
Draw
25.8%
Sertanense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 24.3% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 23.9% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Marinhense - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.47)
    3.51
    (3.74)
    5.87
    (6.57)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Marinhense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marinhense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Sertanense were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Sertanense - Marinhense 2:3
    21.01.2024 Marinhense - Sertanense 1:0
    03.09.2023 Sertanense - Marinhense 1:1
    12.02.2023 Sertanense - Marinhense 0:2
    30.10.2022 Marinhense - Sertanense 0:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    05.01.2025 Marinhense - Pombal 2:0
    15.12.2024 Peniche - Marinhense 2:0
    30.11.2024 Alcains - Marinhense 2:2
    Latest results of Sertanense
    12.01.2025 Sertanense - Peniche 1:1
    15.12.2024 Alcains - Sertanense 2:0
    08.12.2024 Sertanense - Os Marialvas 1:1
    01.12.2024 Mortágua - Sertanense 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to