Result
1:5
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 4, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 5, Sanchez V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arroyo
16.3% | Draw
25.6% | Llerenense
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arroyo - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.59 ↓
(6.23) |
3.57 ↓
(4) |
1.57 ↑
(1.45) |
9.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1.
- Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arroyo won against Llerenense?
Arroyo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Arroyo?
Llerenense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Llerenense were as follows:
29.09.2024
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
05.02.2023
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
02.10.2022
Arroyo
-
Llerenense
0:0
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
