Result
1:5
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 4, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 5, Sanchez V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arroyo 16.3% | Draw 25.6% | Llerenense 58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arroyo - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.59 ↓ (6.23) |
3.57 ↓ (4) |
1.57 ↑ (1.45) |
9.6% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1.
- Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arroyo won against Llerenense?
Arroyo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Arroyo?
Llerenense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Llerenense were as follows:
29.09.2024
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
05.02.2023
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
02.10.2022
Arroyo
-
Llerenense
0:0
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Llerenense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Jaraiz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Santa Amalia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Montijo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Villanovense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | CD Calamonte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Cabeza del Buey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Moralo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Villafranca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Jerez CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Diocesano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | CD Badajoz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Azuaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Puebla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Don Benito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Pueblonuevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Montehermoso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Gevora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation