Llerenense vs Jerez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Millan R. G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Llerenense
40.4%
Draw
29.8%
Jerez
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.7% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Llerenense - Jerez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.03)
    3.06
    (3.2)
    3.07
    (3.44)
    9.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Llerenense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Jerez were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Jerez - Llerenense 4:1
    19.01.2025 Jerez - Llerenense 2:1
    04.03.2023 Llerenense - Jerez 1:1
    30.10.2022 Jerez - Llerenense 1:3
    Latest results of Llerenense
    22.03.2026 Llerenense - Badajoz 0:3
    15.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 2:0
    08.03.2026 Llerenense - Montijo 2:2
    01.03.2026 Moralo - Llerenense 3:0
    22.02.2026 Llerenense - Diocesano 3:0
    Latest results of Jerez
    22.03.2026 Jerez - Azuaga 2:3
    15.03.2026 Badajoz - Jerez 5:4
    08.03.2026 Jerez - Gévora 3:1
    01.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Jerez 3:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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