Result
1:5
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 4, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 5, Sanchez V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arroyo
16.3% | Draw
25.6% | Llerenense
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arroyo - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.59 ↓
(6.23) |
3.57 ↓
(4) |
1.57 ↑
(1.45) |
9.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1.
- Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arroyo won against Llerenense?
Arroyo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Arroyo?
Llerenense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Llerenense were as follows:
29.09.2024
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
05.02.2023
Llerenense
-
Arroyo
1:0
02.10.2022
Arroyo
-
Llerenense
0:0
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
