Arsenal Sarandí vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 32

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
02
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
143
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Lucero M. , Vila J. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. ,
  • 45+3', Villarreal M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Silva T. , Campagnaro M. ,
  • 55', Colletta T. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Batista A. , Purita E. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Faggioli L. ,
  • 70', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 70', Eggel M. 🟥,
  • 75', Gonzalez T. , Klusener G. ,
  • 75', Vila J. , Sayago D. ,
  • 76', Bonacci P. , Cruz A. ,
  • 76', de la Reta J. , Saccone F. ,
  • 86', Bonfigli M. , Ozuna E. ,
  • 90+6', Faggioli L. , Paulini S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Sarandí
51.6%
Draw
28.8%
Deportivo Maipú
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 29.6% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.09)
    3.24
    (3.1)
    4.73
    (3.5)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:0
    18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn ✔ 341612645:281760
    2Atletico Atlanta ✔ 341413731:28355
    3Tristan Suarez ✔ 341216633:231052
    4Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ 341312934:231151
    5San Miguel ✔ 341214832:28450
    6San Martin T. ✔ 341213932:29349
    7Deportivo Maipu3412121034:30448
    8Patronato ✔ 3412121031:28348
    9Colegiales341381326:26047
    10Racing Cordoba3410111338:45-741
    11Ferro3410111324:33-941
    12Los Andes3310101328:28040
    13Club A. Guemes348161028:32-440
    14Quilmes348141230:32-238
    15All Boys33717923:25-238
    16Almagro347141324:31-735
    17Arsenal Sarandi ✔ 348101638:47-934
    18Alvarado346151318:33-1533


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza331612534:181660
    2CA Estudiantes33177940:211958
    3Deportivo Moron331512635:181757
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto331512633:211257
    5Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ 331412734:201454
    6Chaco For Ever331571133:25852
    7Temperley331313727:22552
    8Agropecuario331491041:34751
    9Chacarita Juniors331213837:271049
    10Def. de Belgrano331212930:25548
    11Nueva Chicago3310111227:30-341
    12San Telmo3310111231:40-941
    13CA Mitre331091427:30-339
    14Central Norte331061726:39-1336
    15Almirante Brown337121426:37-1133
    16Colon Santa Fe33852021:39-1829
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 33652216:38-2223
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 333121817:51-3421

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
    Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
    Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to