Arsenal Sarandí vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 32

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
02
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
143
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Lucero M. , Vila J. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. ,
  • 45+3', Villarreal M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Silva T. , Campagnaro M. ,
  • 55', Colletta T. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Batista A. , Purita E. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Faggioli L. ,
  • 70', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 70', Eggel M. 🟥,
  • 75', Gonzalez T. , Klusener G. ,
  • 75', Vila J. , Sayago D. ,
  • 76', Bonacci P. , Cruz A. ,
  • 76', de la Reta J. , Saccone F. ,
  • 86', Bonfigli M. , Ozuna E. ,
  • 90+6', Faggioli L. , Paulini S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Sarandí
51.6%
Draw
28.8%
Deportivo Maipú
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 29.6% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.09)
    3.24
    (3.1)
    4.73
    (3.5)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:0
    18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation