Arsenal Sarandí vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 32

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
02
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
143
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Lucero M. , Vila J. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. ,
  • 45+3', Villarreal M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Silva T. , Campagnaro M. ,
  • 55', Colletta T. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Batista A. , Purita E. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Faggioli L. ,
  • 70', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 70', Eggel M. 🟥,
  • 75', Gonzalez T. , Klusener G. ,
  • 75', Vila J. , Sayago D. ,
  • 76', Bonacci P. , Cruz A. ,
  • 76', de la Reta J. , Saccone F. ,
  • 86', Bonfigli M. , Ozuna E. ,
  • 90+6', Faggioli L. , Paulini S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Sarandí
51.6%
Draw
28.8%
Deportivo Maipú
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 29.6% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.09)
    3.24
    (3.1)
    4.73
    (3.5)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:0
    18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation