Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Palacios P. ⚽,
- 35', Juarez N. 🟨,
- 38', Roselli N. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Sabatini I. ⚽, Gonzalez T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Albertengo M. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
- 67', Veliz D. ↓, Arevalo T. ↑,
- 68', Sala S. G. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
- 69', Colletta T. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Sayago D. ⚽, Purita E. (A),
- 83', Juarez N. ↓, Oyola A. I. ↑,
- 83', Lopez F. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 83', Batista A. ↓, Payes A. ↑,
- 90+2', Lesman G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 90+2', Fernandez E. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
- 90+2', Lucero M. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Sarandí
37.8% | Draw
33.1% | Güemes
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.7) |
2.81 ↓
(3.1) |
3.2 ↑
(2.57) |
6.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- Arsenal Sarandí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Güemes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Güemes?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Güemes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes were as follows:
19.04.2025
Güemes
-
Arsenal Sarandí
1:0
23.06.2024
Güemes
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:1
04.02.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Güemes
1:1
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
