Arsenal Sarandí vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 32

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
02
Total shots
226
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
143
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Lucero M. , Vila J. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. ,
  • 45+3', Villarreal M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Silva T. , Campagnaro M. ,
  • 55', Colletta T. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Batista A. , Purita E. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Faggioli L. ,
  • 70', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 70', Eggel M. 🟥,
  • 75', Gonzalez T. , Klusener G. ,
  • 75', Vila J. , Sayago D. ,
  • 76', Bonacci P. , Cruz A. ,
  • 76', de la Reta J. , Saccone F. ,
  • 86', Bonfigli M. , Ozuna E. ,
  • 90+6', Faggioli L. , Paulini S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Sarandí
51.6%
Draw
28.8%
Deportivo Maipú
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 29.6% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.09)
    3.24
    (3.1)
    4.73
    (3.5)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí 1:0
    18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation