Gimnasia y Tiro vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
94
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
118
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. , Montoya L. (A),
  • 14', Gordillo L. 🟨,
  • 21', Reynaga R. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Aguirre J. ,
  • 31', Roselli N. 🟨,
  • 41', Colletta T. 🟨,
  • 44', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
  • 45', Birge M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Purita E. , Vera M. ,
  • 61', Gonzalez T. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 71', Birge M. , Sivetti F. ,
  • 71', Contin N. , Mendez J. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Rinaldi N. , Mendez J. (A),
  • 80', Sabatini I. , Rius C. ,
  • 86', Morello M. , Busse W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Tiro
46.5%
Draw
33.2%
Arsenal Sarandí
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 32.5% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 32.2% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.11)
    2.79
    (2.83)
    4.47
    (3.86)
    8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí?
  • Users Predictions: Gimnasia y Tiro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gimnasia y Tiro will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arsenal Sarandí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro 0:0
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation