Sochi vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Sochi - Arsenal Tula
Result
5:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 31
  • Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
03
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
62
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
03
Free Kicks
129
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Makarchuk A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 47', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Kalmykov A. ,
  • 62', Kalmykov A. 🟨,
  • 63', Razdorskikh N. , Brnovic M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Pasevich R. ,
  • 68', Makarchuk A. , Terekhov S. ,
  • 73', Kalmykov A. , Semenchuk D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Magal R. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Kramaric M. (Pen),
  • 82', Zaika K. , Maslov P. ,
  • 84', Kramaric M. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 84', Pasevich R. , Kozhemyakin O. ,
  • 85', Lipovoy D. , Bogdanets K. ,
  • 86', Popov A. 🟨,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Martovoy D. ,
  • 89', 5 - 1, Martovoy D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sochi
57.2%
Draw
26%
Arsenal Tula
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 26.2% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 25.2% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.
  • Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Tula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sochi - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.5)
    3.67
    (3.6)
    5.68
    (8.55)
    4.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3.
    • Sochi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Sochi is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Arsenal Tula - Sochi 1:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FK Chayka11003:033
    2Chelyabinsk11003:213
    3R. Volgograd11002:113
    4Ural11001:013
    5Fakel Voronezh11001:013
    6Arsenal Tula20202:202
    7Chernomorets Novorossijsk10101:101
    8SKA Khabarovsk10101:101
    9Ufa10101:101
    10Rodina Moscow10101:101
    11Saratov10100:001
    12Neftekhimik10100:001
    13Kamaz10101:101
    14Shinnik Yaroslavl20111:2-11
    15Torpedo Moscow10012:3-10
    16Ulyanovsk10011:2-10
    17S. Kostroma10010:1-10
    18Yenisey10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation