Result
5:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 31
- Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Makarchuk A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 47', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
- 62', Kalmykov A. 🟨,
- 63', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Pasevich R. ⚽,
- 68', Makarchuk A. ↓, Terekhov S. ↑,
- 73', Kalmykov A. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Magal R. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 1, Kramaric M. (Pen),
- 82', Zaika K. ↓, Maslov P. ↑,
- 84', Kramaric M. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
- 84', Pasevich R. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
- 85', Lipovoy D. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
- 86', Popov A. 🟨,
- 87', 4 - 1, Martovoy D. ⚽,
- 89', 5 - 1, Martovoy D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sochi
57.2% | Draw
26% | Arsenal Tula
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Tula's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sochi - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.5) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
5.68 ↓
(8.55) |
4.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3.
- Sochi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arsenal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sochi is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Arsenal Tula?
Sochi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Sochi?
Arsenal Tula has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
13.10.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Sochi
1:1
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ural | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Chelyabinsk | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | SKA Khabarovsk | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | R. Volgograd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | FK Chayka | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ufa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Saratov | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moscow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Yenisey | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
