Arsenal vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
fijiFijiSky Pacific
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalySky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max, TV8
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaJurnal TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
80% (275/344)87% (462/534)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.69
xG on target (xGOT)
3.480.47
Total shots
128
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
80% (275/344)87% (462/534)
Long passes
43% (20/47)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
55% (57/104)74% (68/92)
Crosses
47% (7/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.49
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1613
Tackles
88% (7/8)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3449
Clearances
1017
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.473.48
Goals prevented
-0.530.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Timber J. , Saka B. (A),
  • 23', Upamecano D. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Karl L. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 38', Trossard L. , Madueke N. ,
  • 43', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 43', Arteta M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Kompany V. 🟨,
  • 68', Saka B. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 68', Lewis-Skelly M. , Calafiori R. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Madueke N. , Calafiori R. (A),
  • 72', Laimer K. , Bischof T. ,
  • 72', Gnabry S. , Jackson N. ,
  • 74', Saliba W. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Martinelli G. , Eze E. (A),
  • 80', Merino M. 🟨,
  • 80', Timber J. , White B. ,
  • 80', Eze E. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 81', Kimmich J. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 81', Karl L. , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 81', Upamecano D. , Kim Min-Jae ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
47.5%
Draw
26.1%
Bayern Munich
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26.1% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 25.6% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Arsenal - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.11)
    3.68
    (3.64)
    3.62
    (3.3)
    3.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 46 - 58.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 20 - 25.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 47.3%69.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Arsenal (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Bayern (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 29.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Arsenal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Gyökeres V. (Hamstring Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Diaz L. (Red Card) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    17.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Arsenal 1:0
    09.04.2024 Arsenal - Bayern Munich 2:2
    Latest results of Arsenal
    08.11.2025 Sunderland - Arsenal 2:2
    04.11.2025 Slavia Prague - Arsenal 0:3
    01.11.2025 Burnley - Arsenal 0:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2