Result
2:3
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-africa | SABC Plus, SABC Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 89% (563/636) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 89% (563/636) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (51/75) | 80% (173/215) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Tah J. 🟨,
- 29', Ginter M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 0, Manzambi J. ⚽, Eggestein M. (A),
- 56', Guerreiro R. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
- 56', Tah J. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
- 56', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 65', Gunter C. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 65', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Holer L. ⚽,
- 73', Olise M. 🟨,
- 78', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
- 78', Manzambi J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bischof T. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
- 87', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 89', Holer L. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
- 90', Suzuki Y. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Bischof T. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Karl L. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
- 90+9', Atubolu N. 🟨,
- 90+10', Karl L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
17.7% | Draw
20% | Bayern Munich
62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.44 ↓
(6.42) |
4.77 ↓
(5.45) |
1.53 ↑
(1.4) |
4.6%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 40.8% – 77.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Bayern (2.11) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.25 - Freiburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- EH +1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (5.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.75 - Bayern (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Freiburg (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 69.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Freiburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Rosenfelder M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Jackson N.
(Red Card)
Kiala C.
(Ankle Injury)
Mike W.
(Hip Injury)
Ulreich S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Kane H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:55. (average 0.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayern Munich?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Freiburg?
Bayern Munich has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
22.11.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
6:2
25.01.2025
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
1:2
01.09.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
2:0
01.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
08.10.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
3:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
