Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven
Result
2:2
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, TV8
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, TVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 Extra
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.48
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
15
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Throw-ins
139
Touches in the Opposition Box
2015
Passes
87% (422/483)87% (408/467)
Passes in the final third
72% (78/108)70% (57/82)
Crosses
27% (4/15)22% (2/9)
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
914
Interceptions
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. , Sterling R. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. , Til G. (A),
  • 34', Babadi I. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Rice D. , Sterling R. (A),
  • 42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schouten J. , Veerman J. ,
  • 63', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 64', Rice D. , Calafiori R. ,
  • 64', Merino M. , Trossard L. ,
  • 68', Perisic I. , de Jong L. ,
  • 69', Obispo A. , Boscagli O. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. , Babadi I. (A),
  • 77', Nagalo A. , Flamingo R. ,
  • 79', Zinchenko O. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 79', White B. , Timber J. ,
  • 79', Tierney K. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 80', Driouech C. , Bajraktarevic E. ,
  • 90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
64.5%
Draw
21.3%
PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 18.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 17.7% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.37)
    4.54
    (5.15)
    6.76
    (8.16)
    3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5%93.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
    • Recently PSV have a series of home games.
    • In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    12.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:1
    20.09.2023 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 4:0
    27.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 2:0
    20.10.2022 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1
    15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce