Real Madrid vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Sport Austria 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Sports 1
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Sport Premium
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.92
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
3422
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Long passes
36% (13/36)33% (10/30)
Passes in final third
78% (107/137)66% (60/91)
Crosses
16% (7/43)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.85
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (18/24)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5447
Clearances Total
1237
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.921.38
Goals prevented
-0.080.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Alaba D. 🟨,
  • 11', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 13', Saka B. (Pen),
  • 36', Raya D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Rodrygo , Ceballos D. ,
  • 61', Alaba D. , Garcia F. ,
  • 61', Lucas , Endrick ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Saka B. , Merino M. (A),
  • 67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ,
  • 74', Asencio R. , Modric L. ,
  • 75', Mbappe K. , Diaz B. ,
  • 77', Saka B. , Trossard L. ,
  • 85', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 85', Partey T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. , Merino M. (A),
  • 90+5', Timber J. , White B. ,
  • 90+5', Martinelli G. , Tierney K. ,
  • 90+5', Rice D. , Zinchenko O. ,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5n8mmtw7

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
54.1%
Draw
23.3%
Arsenal
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.5% 28.5%

Real Madrid - Arsenal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.78
(2.23)
4.15
(3.3)
4.25
(3.15)
3.7%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Arsenal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Real (6.09) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Real (1.22) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Arsenal (1.64) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Arsenal (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Real (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Arsenal (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Arsenal (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Arsenal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Arsenal (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Arsenal (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Arsenal (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Arsenal (4.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (136 of 153 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.91%93.87%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 59 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 39 - 66.1%). Arsenal (votes: 18 - 30.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • Recent matches Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arsenal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Red Card) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Lunin A. (Calf Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Arsenal were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2
    Latest results of Arsenal
    12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Everton - Arsenal 1:1
    01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1
    16.03.2025 Arsenal - Chelsea 1:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)