Real Madrid vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Sport Austria 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Sports 1
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Sport Premium
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.92
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
3422
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Long passes
36% (13/36)33% (10/30)
Passes in final third
78% (107/137)66% (60/91)
Crosses
16% (7/43)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.85
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (18/24)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5447
Clearances Total
1237
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.921.38
Goals prevented
-0.080.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Alaba D. 🟨,
  • 11', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 13', Saka B. (Pen),
  • 36', Raya D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Rodrygo ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 61', Alaba D. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 61', Lucas ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Saka B. ⚽, Merino M. (A),
  • 67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽,
  • 74', Asencio R. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 75', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 77', Saka B. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 85', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 85', Partey T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. ⚽, Merino M. (A),
  • 90+5', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 90+5', Martinelli G. ↓, Tierney K. ↑,
  • 90+5', Rice D. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5n8mmtw7

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
54.1%		Draw
23.3%		Arsenal
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.5% 28.5%

Real Madrid - Arsenal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.78 ↓
(2.23)		 4.15 ↑
(3.3)		 4.25 ↑
(3.15)		 3.7%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Arsenal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Real (6.09) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Real (1.22) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Arsenal (1.64) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Arsenal (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Real (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Arsenal (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Arsenal (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Arsenal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Arsenal (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Arsenal (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Arsenal (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Arsenal (4.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (136 of 153 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.91% – 93.87%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (73 of 81 users predict this - 90.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 104 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 82 - 78.8%). Arsenal (votes: 18 - 17.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 3.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • Recent matches Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arsenal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Red Card) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Lunin A. (Calf Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Arsenal were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺
    01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Everton - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    16.03.2025 Arsenal - Chelsea 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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