Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | DAZN 2, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, HRT 2 |
Cyprus | Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Hungary | RTL+ |
Iceland | Stod 2 Sport 2 |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4 |
Indonesia | beIN Sports 1 |
Ireland | RTE 2, RTE Player |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8 |
Japan | Wowow Prime |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1 |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Norway | TV2 Sport Premium |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN South |
South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
Suriname | ATV Suriname |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
World | Disney+, VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.50 | 2.05 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Total shots |
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18 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 4 |
Passes |
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86% (371/431) | 76% (178/233) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 2.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.38 | 1.92 |
Total shots |
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18 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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10 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 22 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 18 |
Passes |
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86% (371/431) | 76% (178/233) |
Long passes |
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36% (13/36) | 33% (10/30) |
Passes in final third |
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78% (107/137) | 66% (60/91) |
Crosses |
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16% (7/43) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.71 | 0.85 |
Fouls |
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18 | 15 |
Tackles |
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75% (18/24) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
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54 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
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12 | 37 |
Interceptions |
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2 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.92 | 1.38 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.08 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Alaba D. 🟨,
- 11', Asencio R. 🟨,
- 13', Saka B. (Pen),
- 36', Raya D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', Rodrygo ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
- 61', Alaba D. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 61', Lucas ↓, Endrick ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Saka B. ⚽, Merino M. (A),
- 67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽,
- 74', Asencio R. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 75', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 77', Saka B. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
- 85', Rudiger A. 🟨,
- 85', Partey T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. ⚽, Merino M. (A),
- 90+5', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
- 90+5', Martinelli G. ↓, Tierney K. ↑,
- 90+5', Rice D. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
Highlights
http://tinyurl.com/5n8mmtw7
Chances of winning
Real Madrid 54.1% | Draw 23.3% | Arsenal 22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Madrid - Arsenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (2.23) |
4.15 ↑ (3.3) |
4.25 ↑ (3.15) |
3.7% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Arsenal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
- TQ, OT - Real (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(136 of 153 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.91% – 93.87%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
- Recent matches Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arsenal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.
- In this match Real is a favorite.
- There will not play in Real: Camavinga E.
(Red Card)
Carvajal D.
(Knee Injury)
Eder Militao
(Knee Injury)
Lunin A.
(Calf Injury)
Mendy F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R.
(Knee Injury)
Gabriel
(Hamstring Injury)
Gabriel Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Havertz K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jorginho
(Chest Injury)
Tomiyasu T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Arsenal?
Real Madrid has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Real Madrid?
Arsenal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Arsenal were as follows:
08.04.2025
Arsenal
-
Real Madrid
3:0
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Arsenal
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
19 | Pafos | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
25 | Brann | Bye | |
26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
29 | Rangers | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
31 | Plzen | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Servette | |
33 | Nice | Bye | |
36 | Bye | Benfica | |
37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
16 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
17 | Nice | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Benfica | |
19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals1 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | |
2 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | |
3 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | |
4 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | |
5 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | |
6 | Shkendija | Qarabag | |
7 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | |
8 | Rangers | Plzen | |
9 | Nice | Benfica | |
10 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | |