Result
3:1
09/11/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7
Chances of winning
Villa
58.1% | Draw
27.1% | Arua Hill
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arua Hill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arua Hill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa - Arua Hill Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(2.18) |
3.31 ↑
(2.9) |
6.05 ↑
(3.35) |
11.6%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Villa - Arua Hill?
Users Predictions:
Villa will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Villa is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Arua Hill?
Villa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arua Hill won against Villa?
Arua Hill has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villa - Arua Hill were as follows:
19.04.2023
Villa
-
Arua Hill
0:1
19.11.2022
Arua Hill
-
Villa
0:1
Latest results of Arua Hill
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Police | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | BUL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Buhimba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Express | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Lugazi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | URA SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Kampala City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mbarara City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | NEC FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | UPDF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maroons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Calvary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
