Villa vs Arua Hill – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League Villa - Arua Hill
Result
3:1
09/11/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Chances of winning


Villa
58.1%
Draw
27.1%
Arua Hill
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 31.3% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.8% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.
  • Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arua Hill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-22.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arua Hill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villa - Arua Hill Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (2.18)
    3.31
    (2.9)
    6.05
    (3.35)
    11.6%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Villa is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa - Arua Hill were as follows:
    19.04.2023 Villa - Arua Hill 0:1
    19.11.2022 Arua Hill - Villa 0:1
    Latest results of Villa
    24.10.2023 Villa - Bul 1:2
    20.10.2023 Vipers - Villa 1:1
    29.09.2023 Villa - NEC FC 3:0
    24.09.2023 Maroons - Villa 1:1
    15.09.2023 Villa - Kitara 1:2
    Latest results of Arua Hill
    25.10.2023 Mbarara City - Arua Hill 1:0
    20.10.2023 Arua Hill - Gaddafi 0:1
    01.10.2023 Arua Hill - Bul 1:2
    21.09.2023 Vipers - Arua Hill 2:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League