Result
2:0
30/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Kaddu P. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Sibira Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Kitara
39.6% | Draw
33.9% | Villa
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Kitara - Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.35) |
2.64 ↓
(2.9) |
3.39 ↑
(3.15) |
11.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 2.
- Kitara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Villa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Villa has had a series of home games.
- Kitara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against Villa?
Kitara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Kitara?
Villa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kitara - Villa were as follows:
06.11.2025
Villa
-
Kitara
1:0
26.04.2025
Villa
-
Kitara
0:0
07.01.2025
Kitara
-
Villa
1:0
09.02.2024
Kitara
-
Villa
1:1
15.09.2023
Villa
-
Kitara
1:2
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
