Result
3:1
09/11/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7
Chances of winning
Villa 58.1% | Draw 27.1% | Arua Hill 14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arua Hill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arua Hill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa - Arua Hill Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (2.18) |
3.31 ↑ (2.9) |
6.05 ↑ (3.35) |
11.6% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Villa - Arua Hill?
Users Predictions:
Villa will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Villa is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Arua Hill?
Villa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arua Hill won against Villa?
Arua Hill has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villa - Arua Hill were as follows:
19.04.2023
Villa
-
Arua Hill
0:1
19.11.2022
Arua Hill
-
Villa
0:1
Latest results of Arua Hill
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League