Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arucas 42.7% | Draw 28.8% | Ibarra 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arucas's performance.Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Arucas - Ibarra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.4) |
3.16 ↑ (3.1) |
3.19 ↑ (2.7) |
9.9% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arucas won 0.
- Arucas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ibarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arucas won against Ibarra?
Arucas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ibarra won against Arucas?
Ibarra has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arucas - Ibarra were as follows:
26.10.2024
Ibarra
-
Arucas
2:0
17.04.2024
Ibarra
-
Arucas
1:1
05.11.2023
Arucas
-
Ibarra
2:2
23.04.2023
Ibarra
-
Arucas
1:1
07.01.2023
Arucas
-
Ibarra
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanzarote | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Tenerife C | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Atl. Paso | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | San Fernando | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Real Union Tenerife | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Panaderia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Arucas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Las Palmas C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 | Herbania | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | San Miguel | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | San Bartolome | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | Telde | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:17 | -16 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation