Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arucas 42.7% | Draw 28.8% | Ibarra 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arucas's performance.Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Arucas - Ibarra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.4) |
3.16 ↑ (3.1) |
3.19 ↑ (2.7) |
9.9% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arucas won 0.
- Arucas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ibarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arucas won against Ibarra?
Arucas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ibarra won against Arucas?
Ibarra has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arucas - Ibarra were as follows:
26.10.2024
Ibarra
-
Arucas
2:0
17.04.2024
Ibarra
-
Arucas
1:1
05.11.2023
Arucas
-
Ibarra
2:2
23.04.2023
Ibarra
-
Arucas
1:1
07.01.2023
Arucas
-
Ibarra
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 45:33 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Tenerife C | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 | Las Palmas C | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Union Tenerife | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34:29 | 5 | 44 |
| 10 | Villa Santa Brigida | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 38 |
| 12 | San Bartolome | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | San Miguel | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Arucas | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Yaiza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 | Herbania | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | Telde | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26:61 | -35 | 23 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation