Cagliari vs Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Miele G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
greeceGreeceNova Sports
italyItalySky Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Chances of winning


Cagliari
47.2%
Draw
30%
Ascoli
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 31.2% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 32.2% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Cagliari - Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.12)
    3.14
    (3)
    4.1
    (3.8)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cagliari - Ascoli?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Ascoli will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 32.4%71.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Cagliari has the most likely position - 7 (14.38%), has project points - 54, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Ascoli has the most likely position - 11 (12.82%), has project points - 49, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 34, small importance 22, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Cagliari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ascoli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cagliari will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Ascoli were as follows:
    24.10.2022 Ascoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    05.03.2023 Brescia - Cagliari 1:1
    01.03.2023 Cagliari - Genoa 0:0
    25.02.2023 Venezia - Cagliari 0:0
    18.02.2023 Bari - Cagliari 1:1
    11.02.2023 Cagliari - Benevento 1:0
    Latest results of Ascoli
    05.03.2023 Ascoli - Bari 0:1
    01.03.2023 Modena - Ascoli 0:1
    26.02.2023 Ascoli - Benevento 0:0
    18.02.2023 Parma - Ascoli 0:1
    11.02.2023 Ascoli - Perugia 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia ✔ 372310475:314479
    2Frosinone372212371:343778
    3Monza37229659:302975
    4Palermo372012561:313072
    5Catanzaro ✔ 371514860:481259
    6Modena ✔ 3715101249:351455
    7Juve Stabia ✔ 371117943:44-150
    8Avellino3712101542:55-1346
    9Cesena3712101542:52-1046
    10Mantova371371745:52-746
    11Carrarese3710141346:50-444
    12Sampdoria3711111535:47-1244
    13Padova3711101635:46-1143
    14Empoli379131545:52-740
    15Sudtirol378161337:47-1040
    16Entella379121634:50-1639
    17Bari379101835:58-2337
    18Pescara377131750:65-1534
    19Spezia378101942:58-1634
    20Reggiana378101935:56-2134

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)