Gubbio vs Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
72
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gori G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 2, Gori G. ,
  • 57', D'Uffizi S. , Oviszach E. ,
  • 58', Rosaia G. , Di Massimo A. ,
  • 59', Podda L. , Djankpata H. ,
  • 61', 0 - 3, Oviszach E. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Di Massimo A. ,
  • 68', Ghirardello T. , La Mantia A. ,
  • 68', Murru N. , Zallu F. ,
  • 72', Milanese T. , Corradini G. ,
  • 72', Gori G. , Chakir M. A. ,
  • 72', Silipo A. , Pagliai G. ,
  • 77', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
  • 83', Varone I. , Mastropietro F. ,
  • 83', Rizzo Pinna A. , Ndoj E. ,
  • 90+4', Guiebre A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Chakir M. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gubbio
19.8%
Draw
30.5%
Ascoli
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 30.6% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 29.3% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Gubbio - Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.61
    (4.03)
    3
    (2.99)
    1.84
    (1.96)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.
    • Gubbio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ascoli is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Ascoli were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Ascoli - Gubbio 1:1
    05.04.2025 Gubbio - Ascoli 0:0
    24.11.2024 Ascoli - Gubbio 1:0
    11.08.2024 Ascoli - Gubbio 2:1
    Latest results of Gubbio
    08.03.2026 Ternana - Gubbio 0:1
    04.03.2026 Gubbio - Carpi 2:1
    21.02.2026 Gubbio - Arezzo 0:1
    15.02.2026 Pontedera - Gubbio 1:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    09.03.2026 Ascoli - Ravenna 2:0
    04.03.2026 Sambenedettese - Ascoli 0:1
    28.02.2026 Ascoli - Carpi 3:0
    22.02.2026 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:3
    15.02.2026 Bra - Ascoli 1:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo31217354:203470
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna32187745:301561
    4Pineto31139941:38348
    5Campobasso31148943:35848
    6Pianese311014733:30344
    7Juventus U23311281139:38144
    8Gubbio311013828:26243
    9Vis Pesaro311013832:29343
    10Ternana31139937:31643
    11Livorno321071533:46-1337
    12Guidonia318121125:28-336
    13Forli31981438:46-835
    14Carpi328101430:42-1234
    15Perugia317111332:38-632
    16Torres325161128:41-1331
    17Sambenedettese326111525:34-929
    18Bra315111532:49-1726
    19Pontedera313101826:55-2919
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation