Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Carraro F. ⚽,
- 35', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Podda L. ↓, Rosaia G. ↑,
- 57', (Pen),
- 70', La Mantia A. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
- 75', Pagliai G. ↓, Guiebre A. ↑,
- 75', Minta A. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 78', Milanese T. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 82', Bruscagin M. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
- 82', Djankpata H. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 87', Fazzi N. 🟨,
- 88', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
- 89', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 90+4', Damiani S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
54.7% | Draw
27.4% | Gubbio
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Ascoli - Gubbio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.55) |
3.37 ↓
(3.7) |
5.17 ↓
(5.7) |
8.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Gubbio?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ascoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Gubbio?
Ascoli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Ascoli?
Gubbio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Gubbio were as follows:
05.04.2025
Gubbio
-
Ascoli
0:0
24.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
1:0
11.08.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
2:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
