Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 2, Gori G. ⚽,
- 57', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 58', Rosaia G. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 59', Podda L. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Oviszach E. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 3, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
- 68', Ghirardello T. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
- 68', Murru N. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
- 72', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
- 72', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 72', Silipo A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 77', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
- 83', Varone I. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
- 83', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 90+4', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Chakir M. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gubbio
19.8% | Draw
30.5% | Ascoli
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Gubbio - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(4.03) |
3 ↑
(2.99) |
1.84 ↓
(1.96) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.
- Gubbio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ascoli is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Ascoli?
Gubbio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Gubbio?
Ascoli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Ascoli were as follows:
07.11.2025
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
1:1
05.04.2025
Gubbio
-
Ascoli
0:0
24.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
1:0
11.08.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
2:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 40 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 40 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | -35 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
