Result
1:0
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
- 66', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 66', Pettinari S. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 73', Ferrante A. 🟨,
- 75', Alagna M. 🟨,
- 77', Proietti M. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
- 77', Bianay Balcot C. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
- 83', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 83', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 83', Silipo A. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 90+2', Romeo F. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
- 90+3', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
- 90+6', Milanese T. ↓, Bando A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
39.3% | Draw
32.2% | Ternana
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Ascoli - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.99) |
2.82 ↓
(3.13) |
3.19 ↓
(3.72) |
10%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Ternana?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ternana (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 3.
- Ascoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ternana is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Ternana?
Ascoli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Ascoli?
Ternana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Ternana were as follows:
31.08.2025
Ternana
-
Ascoli
0:2
23.02.2025
Ascoli
-
Ternana
0:3
13.10.2024
Ternana
-
Ascoli
3:1
27.04.2024
Ternana
-
Ascoli
0:1
26.09.2023
Ascoli
-
Ternana
2:0
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
