Result
Postponed
12/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 12
Chances of winning
Aserrí 37.3% | Draw 27.9% | Desamparados 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Aserrí - Desamparados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.38) |
3.24 ↓ (3.25) |
2.6 ↓ (2.67) |
10.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Desamparados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aserrí won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aserrí won against Desamparados?
Aserrí has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desamparados won against Aserrí?
Desamparados has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aserrí - Desamparados were as follows:
31.08.2025
Desamparados
-
Aserrí
2:1
10.04.2025
Aserrí
-
Desamparados
0:1
05.02.2025
Desamparados
-
Aserrí
1:0
03.10.2024
Desamparados
-
Aserrí
2:0
21.08.2024
Aserrí
-
Desamparados
1:0
Latest results of Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter San Carlos | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | ADR Jicaral | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Quepos Cambute | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. Upala | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Cofutpa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 8 | Grecia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Escorpiones | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:14 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Santa Ana | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Consultants Desamparados | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Carmelita | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | Ad Aserri | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Pitbulls | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | CS Uruguay | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)