Carmelita vs Desamparados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Carmelita
31.7%
Draw
26.8%
Desamparados
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 27.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmelita's form might have worsened.
  • Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desamparados's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmelita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desamparados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carmelita - Desamparados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.32)
    3.42
    (3.34)
    2.2
    (2.67)
    9.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Desamparados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carmelita - Desamparados were as follows:
    18.02.2026 Desamparados - Carmelita 3:1
    30.10.2025 Desamparados - Carmelita 0:1
    12.09.2025 Carmelita - Desamparados 1:0
    Latest results of Carmelita
    Latest results of Desamparados
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CS UruguayQuepos Cambute0 : 0, 2 : 5
    2Consultants DesamparadosADR Jicaral0 : 2, 1 : 1
    3PitbullsInter San Carlos0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Santa CruzEscorpiones1 : 4, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Quepos CambuteADR Jicaral1 : 0
    2Inter San CarlosEscorpiones

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2