Result
1:1
25/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Carmelita 31.7% | Draw 26.8% | Desamparados 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmelita's form might have worsened.Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desamparados's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmelita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desamparados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carmelita - Desamparados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.88 ↑ (2.32) |
3.42 ↑ (3.34) |
2.2 ↓ (2.67) |
9.4% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Desamparados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmelita won against Desamparados?
Carmelita has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desamparados won against Carmelita?
Desamparados has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carmelita - Desamparados were as follows:
18.02.2026
Desamparados
-
Carmelita
3:1
30.10.2025
Desamparados
-
Carmelita
0:1
12.09.2025
Carmelita
-
Desamparados
1:0
Latest results of Carmelita
Latest results of Desamparados
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | CS Uruguay | Quepos Cambute | 0 : 0, 2 : 5 |
| 2 | Consultants Desamparados | ADR Jicaral | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | Inter San Carlos | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | Escorpiones | 1 : 4, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Quepos Cambute | ADR Jicaral | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | Escorpiones | |
Final