Ordabasy vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Ordabasy - Astana
Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
53
Corner Kicks
76
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1412
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1513
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Zhaksybaev U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Antic N. , Imnadze L. ,
  • 46', Vakulko Y. , Capatina M. ,
  • 47', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟨,
  • 67', Geoffrey C. , Karimov R. ,
  • 67', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Zhumabek A. , Everton ,
  • 71', Naumets V. , Amir Z. ,
  • 80', Ebong M. , Basic I. ,
  • 80', Camara O. , Tsamai D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Everton , Amir Z. (A),
  • 90', Tomasov M. , Beysebekov A. ,
  • 90', Gripshi N. , Basmanov S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ordabasy
17.1%
Draw
25.3%
Astana
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 28.3% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.3% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ordabasy's form might have worsened.
  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ordabasy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ordabasy - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.4
    (2.92)
    3.65
    (3.32)
    1.61
    (2.38)
    8.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ordabasy - Astana?
  • Users Predictions: Astana will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Astana will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2.
    • Ordabasy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Astana is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ordabasy has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Astana is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Astana were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Astana - Ordabasy 2:1
    22.09.2024 Ordabasy - Astana 2:4
    16.06.2024 Astana - Ordabasy 0:1
    24.09.2023 Ordabasy - Astana 1:2
    06.07.2023 Ordabasy - Astana 2:0
    Latest results of Ordabasy
    10.07.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy 4:3
    05.07.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    29.06.2025 Ordabasy - Kairat 0:1
    25.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    21.06.2025 Okzhetpes - Ordabasy 0:1
    Latest results of Astana
    06.07.2025 Zhetysu - Astana 0:2
    29.06.2025 Astana - Kyzylzhar 3:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    15.06.2025 Astana - Okzhetpes 5:2
    30.05.2025 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:2
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Ordabasy1775519:13626
    8Zhenis1859420:16424
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan18321313:37-2411
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League