Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Zhaksybaev U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Antic N. ↓, Imnadze L. ↑,
- 46', Vakulko Y. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
- 47', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟨,
- 67', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 67', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟨,
- 71', Zhumabek A. ↓, Everton ↑,
- 71', Naumets V. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
- 80', Ebong M. ↓, Basic I. ↑,
- 80', Camara O. ↓, Tsamai D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Everton ⚽, Amir Z. (A),
- 90', Tomasov M. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 90', Gripshi N. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ordabasy
17.1% | Draw
25.3% | Astana
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ordabasy's form might have worsened.Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ordabasy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-18%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ordabasy - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.4 ↑
(2.92) |
3.65 ↑
(3.32) |
1.61 ↓
(2.38) |
8.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ordabasy - Astana?
Users Predictions:
Astana will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Astana will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2.
- Ordabasy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Astana is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ordabasy has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Astana is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Astana?
Ordabasy has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Ordabasy?
Astana has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Astana were as follows:
05.04.2025
Astana
-
Ordabasy
2:1
22.09.2024
Ordabasy
-
Astana
2:4
16.06.2024
Astana
-
Ordabasy
0:1
24.09.2023
Ordabasy
-
Astana
1:2
06.07.2023
Ordabasy
-
Astana
2:0
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tobol | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 37:18 | 19 | 44 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 47:19 | 28 | 43 |
| 3 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Turan | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:41 | -26 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 11:30 | -19 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
