Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Maliy S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Basic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
- 60', Abagna D. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
- 60', Mitkov D. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
- 62', Amanovic A. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
- 68', Abrayev M. ↓, Islamkhan B. ↑,
- 69', Everton ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 73', Basmanov S. ↓, Bartolec K. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Amir Z. ⚽,
- 85', Anuarov S. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
- 87', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kasym A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Vorogovskiy Y. ⚽, Islamkhan B. (A),
Chances of winning
Astana
46.4% | Draw
26.3% | Ordabasy
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Astana - Ordabasy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.25) |
3.54 ↑
(3.12) |
3.39 ↑
(3.1) |
7.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Astana - Ordabasy?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Astana will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3.
- In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ordabasy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Astana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Ordabasy?
Astana has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Astana?
Ordabasy has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Ordabasy were as follows:
13.07.2025
Ordabasy
-
Astana
1:0
05.04.2025
Astana
-
Ordabasy
2:1
22.09.2024
Ordabasy
-
Astana
2:4
16.06.2024
Astana
-
Ordabasy
0:1
24.09.2023
Ordabasy
-
Astana
1:2
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
