Result
2:3
19/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Chesnokov I. ⚽,
- 6', 1 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽,
- 11', Marochkin A. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 1, El Messaoudi A. (Pen),
- 37', Tagybergen A. 🟥,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Geoffrey C. ⚽, Gripshi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bystrov M. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 66', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 74', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 79', Zhagorov N. ↓, Signevich N. ↑,
- 89', Chesnokov I. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Tomasov M. ⚽, Shomko D. (A),
- 90+3', Ebong M. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 90+6', Karimov R. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
- 90+7', Zuev A. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
34.9% | Draw
27.5% | Astana
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Tobol Kostanay - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66
(2.66) |
3.37 ↑
(3.21) |
2.47 ↓
(2.66) |
7.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Astana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 3.
- Tobol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Astana?
Tobol Kostanay has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Tobol Kostanay?
Astana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Astana were as follows:
10.05.2025
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:3
03.11.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
08.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
21.04.2024
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
16.09.2023
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
