Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, El Messaoudi A. ⚽, Zhumashev Z. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, Signevich N. ⚽, Zhagorov N. (A),
- 34', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 3, Signevich N. ⚽, El Messaoudi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Signevich N. ↓, Henen D. ↑,
- 46', Shomko D. ↓, Vorogovskiy Y. ↑,
- 48', Victor Braga 🟨,
- 57', Tomasov M. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 58', Bartolec K. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
- 58', Amanovic A. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 67', Ebong M. 🟨,
- 73', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Ededem E. ↑,
- 79', Tagybergen A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 80', Camara O. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Geoffrey C. ⚽, Ebong M. (A),
- 87', Chesnokov I. ↓, Kalmyrza M. ↑,
- 87', Zhagorov N. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Astana
57% | Draw
24.6% | Tobol Kostanay
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Astana - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(2.19) |
3.77 ↑
(3.11) |
5.07 ↑
(3.36) |
7.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Astana - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tobol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Astana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Astana has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Astana is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Astana will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Tobol Kostanay?
Astana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Astana?
Tobol Kostanay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
03.11.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
08.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
21.04.2024
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
16.09.2023
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
09.04.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
0:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 35:13 | 22 | 37 |
| 3 | Tobol | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 29:13 | 16 | 35 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13:33 | -20 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
