Result
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
35.1% | Draw
27.1% | Astana
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Tobol Kostanay - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.66) |
3.4 ↑
(3.21) |
2.43 ↓
(2.66) |
8.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 3.
- Tobol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Astana?
Tobol Kostanay has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Tobol Kostanay?
Astana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Astana were as follows:
10.05.2025
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:3
03.11.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
08.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Astana
1:0
21.04.2024
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
16.09.2023
Astana
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 32:16 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 12 | Turan | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:39 | -24 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
