Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 82% (304/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 82% (304/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (37/57) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/138) | 64% (43/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Macheda F. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 19', Munoz Mumo 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Varga B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Koita A. 🟨,
- 58', Sylla I. 🟨,
- 59', Mantalos P. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 59', Koita A. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 61', Relvas F. 🟨,
- 67', Rota L. 🟨,
- 70', Kaltsas N. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
- 71', Alho N. ↓, Deligiannidis P. ↑,
- 71', Tzandaris T. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 73', Varga B. ↓, Zini ↑,
- 73', Ljubicic R. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 83', Munoz Mumo ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Jovic L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jovic L. ↓, Kaloskamis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
12.5% | Draw
21.3% | AEK Athens
66.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.51 ↑
(6) |
4.42 ↑
(3.7) |
1.43 ↓
(1.56) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). AEK will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 64.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 0.
- Recent form of Asteras Tripolis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AEK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, AEK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Alagbe O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Pereyra R.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against AEK Athens?
Asteras Tripolis has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Asteras Tripolis?
AEK Athens has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens were as follows:
31.08.2025
AEK Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:0
23.02.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
AEK Athens
0:3
09.11.2024
AEK Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
3:0
04.02.2024
AEK Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
4:2
22.10.2023
Asteras Tripolis
-
AEK Athens
0:3
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 37:13 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 38:10 | 28 | 46 |
| 3 | PAOK | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 45 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 38 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 32 |
| 6 | Aris | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Volos | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19:24 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | AEL Larissa | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 18 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10:50 | -40 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
