Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/470) | 63% (145/232) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/470) | 63% (145/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 21% (14/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/107) | 45% (32/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Bartolo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Sagal A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Ketu K. ↑,
- 70', Kakuta G. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 71', Atanasov J. ↓, Naor G. ↑,
- 71', Triantafyllopoulos K. ↓, Laskaris D. ↑,
- 78', Iliadis T. 🟨,
- 82', Sourlis V. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 86', Chidera O. M. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
- 86', Munoz Mumo ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
- 87', Tupta L. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 87', Macon Y. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
- 90+3', Perez F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mourgos S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bartolo J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Sipcic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
49.3% | Draw
29.5% | Asteras Tripolis
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEL Larissa's performance.Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEL Larissa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.43) |
3.17 ↑
(2.87) |
4.41 ↑
(3.07) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Larissa (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Asteras Tripolis (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Asteras Tripolis (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Larissa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Larissa: Apostolakis K.
(Inactive)
Ngoy J.
(Inactive)
Sisto P.
(Injury)
Staikos P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Yablonskiy E.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Castano P.
(Inactive)
Sipcic N.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Asteras Tripolis?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against AEL Larissa?
Asteras Tripolis has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
14.09.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
AEL Larissa
2:2
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
