Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 3
- Referee: Kokkinos G. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 84% (303/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 84% (303/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 65% (33/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (81/108) | 75% (89/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Kaltsas N. ⚽, Macheda F. (A),
- 39', Sagal A. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Bartolo J. ⚽, Mendieta J. (A),
- 45+1', Castano P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Atanasov J. 🟨,
- 57', Giousis C. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 61', Mendieta J. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
- 63', Munoz Mumo 🟨,
- 67', Mourgos S. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Pasas G. ⚽,
- 75', Macheda F. 🟨,
- 76', Bartolo J. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
- 76', Kaltsas N. ↓, Ketu K. ↑,
- 80', Sagal A. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 80', Tupta L. ↓, Faisal K. ↑,
- 81', Perez F. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 83', Munoz Mumo ↓, Yablonskiy E. ↑,
- 83', Sourlis V. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Pasas G. (Pen),
- 90+5', Garate L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ketu K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
60.2% | Draw
27.6% | AEL Larissa
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.69) |
3.95 ↑
(3.33) |
9.48 ↑
(5.58) |
-6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Larissa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 1 - 50%). Larissa (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Asteras Tripolis (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Larissa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 3.
- Asteras Tripolis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Larissa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Asteras Tripolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Asteras Tripolis has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Asteras Tripolis is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 2.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against AEL Larissa?
Asteras Tripolis has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Asteras Tripolis?
AEL Larissa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa were as follows:
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens ✔ | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:10 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | PAOK | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 47 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 49:29 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Aris | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Volos | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 21 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27:33 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:34 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14:53 | -39 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
