Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (329/431) | 77% (250/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (329/431) | 77% (250/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/60) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (60/110) | 77% (88/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 39% (7/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Ivanov R. (Own goal),
- 34', Alagbe O. 🟨,
- 35', Panagidis M. 🟨,
- 41', Pomonis K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Alagbe O. ↓, Munoz Mumo ↑,
- 46', Mendieta J. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 55', Bartolo J. 🟨,
- 57', Ketu K. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
- 66', Rose L. 🟨,
- 74', Galanopoulos K. 🟨,
- 74', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 75', Yablonskiy E. ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
- 76', Morutan O. ↓, Gning M. ↑,
- 76', Panagidis M. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 83', Perez C. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
34.6% | Draw
33.4% | Aris
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Asteras Tripolis - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.95) |
2.81 ↓
(3.05) |
2.95 ↑
(2.5) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - Aris?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Aris will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Asteras Tripolis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Asteras Tripolis (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Asteras Tripolis (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 3 - 60%). Aris (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 1.
- Asteras Tripolis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Aris has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Alho N.
(Injury)
Chicco J.
(Injury)
Sylla I.
(Personal Reasons)
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Foot Injury)
Dioudis S.
(Inactive)
Donis A.
(Inactive)
Fabiano
(Inactive)
Fadiga N.
(Red Card)
Kadewere T.
(Knee Injury)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Racic U.
(Yellow Cards)
Sonko Sundberg N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Aris?
Asteras Tripolis has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Asteras Tripolis?
Aris has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - Aris were as follows:
09.11.2025
Aris
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:0
17.08.2025
Aris
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
10.05.2025
Aris
-
Asteras Tripolis
4:2
29.03.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Aris
0:2
23.12.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Aris
2:1
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
