Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Referee: Papadopoulos I. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (265/316) | 86% (384/446) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (265/316) | 86% (384/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 60% (32/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (44/74) | 77% (75/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Farley Rosa ⚽, Aguirre J. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Bartolo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Macheda F. ⚽, Bartolo J. (A),
- 64', Satsias G. ↓, Esteban Diego ↑,
- 64', Apostolopoulos A. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
- 65', Almyras C. 🟨,
- 69', Alagbe O. 🟨,
- 72', Macheda F. 🟨,
- 80', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
- 80', Aguirre J. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 80', Aleksic K. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 81', Bartolo J. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
- 81', Macheda F. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
- 87', Chidera O. M. 🟨,
- 88', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
- 89', Farley Rosa (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Ketu K. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 90+5', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
41.3% | Draw
30.6% | Panetolikos
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asteras Tripolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.03) |
3.07 ↓
(3.13) |
3.33 ↓
(3.73) |
6.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Asteras Tripolis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Garcia U.
(Inactive)
Manrique C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Chidera O. M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Panetolikos: Aleksic K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 8 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Panetolikos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Panetolikos has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos were as follows:
14.02.2026
Panetolikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
3:1
22.11.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
1:1
13.01.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
2:0
21.09.2024
Panetolikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
27.07.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
3:1
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23:63 | -40 | 28 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 25 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
