Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 22
- Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (406/481) | 77% (293/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (406/481) | 77% (293/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (97/135) | 60% (52/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Mountes M. 🟨,
- 26', Rastavac M. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Mansur ⚽, Jubitana D. (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Jubitana D. ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Mitrovic S. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
- 63', Chicco J. 🟨,
- 64', Chicco J. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 70', Wijdenbosch D. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
- 70', Baku M. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Bartolo J. ⚽, Alho N. (A),
- 80', Zuber S. ↓, Tsantilas P. ↑,
- 80', Munoz Mumo ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
- 80', Ketu K. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
- 90', Michorl P. ↓, Karamanis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
37% | Draw
30.7% | Atromitos Athens
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.36) |
3.05 ↑
(3.02) |
2.92 ↓
(3.17) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Atromitos will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 3.
- Recent form of Asteras Tripolis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Atromitos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Ivanov R.
(Inactive)
Triantafyllopoulos K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atromitos: Tzovaras G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Atromitos Athens?
Asteras Tripolis has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against Asteras Tripolis?
Atromitos Athens has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens were as follows:
30.11.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:1
19.07.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:0
03.05.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Atromitos Athens
1:4
07.04.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:1
05.01.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
