Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Koukoulas P. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | ERT 2, Nova Sports 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/297) | 75% (217/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/297) | 75% (217/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 57% (35/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (46/73) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Alho N. 🟨,
- 13', Rumyantsev V. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, De Marco V. ⚽, Nunnely C. (A),
- 28', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Munoz Mumo ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 46', Alho N. ↓, Ketu K. ↑,
- 54', Almyras C. 🟨,
- 55', Rumyantsev V. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 63', Maras A. 🟨,
- 69', Nunnely C. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
- 69', Tsaousis M. ↓, Kalinin I. ↑,
- 69', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Brooks E. ↑,
- 70', Macheda F. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
- 71', Brooks E. 🟨,
- 77', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 78', Kaltsas N. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
- 84', Green A. ↓, Karelis N. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez E. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Maras A. ⚽,
- 89', Gioacchini N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Liasos A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panserraikos
37.4% | Draw
31.5% | Asteras Tripolis
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panserraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panserraikos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↓
(2.84) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
3.41 ↑
(2.54) |
-2.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Panserraikos will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 4.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Panserraikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Panserraikos: Armougom Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Galvan B. A.
(Injury)
Guillaumier M.
(Inactive)
Leo J.
(Inactive)
Sakalidis V.
(Inactive)
Volnei
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Mendieta J.
(Injury)
Pomonis K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Panserraikos: Gelashvili I.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Panserraikos has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Panserraikos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
09.03.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panserraikos
1:2
01.12.2024
Panserraikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
30.03.2024
Panserraikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
03.03.2024
Panserraikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
10.01.2024
Panserraikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
Latest results of Panserraikos
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
