Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Bayern Munich
Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5, MEGA
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Q Sport Arena, Q Sport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
luxembourgLuxembourgRTL 2, RTL 2
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
moldovaMoldovaJurnal TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandTVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sky Ultra, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.47
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
316
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
07
Free Kicks
1710
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
71
Fouls
510
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
307699
Completed Passes
244650
Clearances Completed
163
Crosses Completed
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Upamecano D. 🟨,
  • 27', Ramsey J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Coman K. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 59', Onana A. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
  • 60', Bailey L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 66', Gnabry S. 🟨,
  • 66', Olise M. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
  • 70', Watkins O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 76', Pavlovic A. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Torres P. (A),
  • 86', Laimer K. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
  • 86', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Maatsen I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 90+5', Duran J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
21.3%		Draw
22%		Bayern Munich
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 23.3% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 23.3% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.54 ↑
    (4.08)    		 4.4 ↑
    (4.12)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.81)    		 3.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (108 of 122 users predict this - 88.52%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.86% – 94.18%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.
    • Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayern is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Knee Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Ibrahimovic A. (Muscle Injury) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Cash M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Ito H. (Foot Injury) Peretz D. (Hip Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aston Villa
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    Latest results of Bayern Munich
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    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3
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