Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 38
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | Optus Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Belgium | Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Botswana | YTV |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | fubo Sports Network 6 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Cote-d-ivoire | NCI |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Eswatini | Eswatini TV |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
France | Canal+ Live 7 |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Guinea | CIS |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5 |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | Siminn Sport 2, Siminn Sport |
India | Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kenya | Gotv, K24 |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mauritius | MBC 11 |
Mexico | MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW |
Nigeria | SuperSport Blitz |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 6 |
South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Tanzania | UTV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Uganda | NBS Sport 1 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CNBC, Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+ Sport 2, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON |
Zambia | ZNBC 1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.86 | 0.40 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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24 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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88% (524/593) | 73% (212/291) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.86 | 0.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.11 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
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24 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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13 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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12 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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51 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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3 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 10 |
Passes |
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88% (524/593) | 73% (212/291) |
Long passes |
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67% (32/48) | 31% (18/58) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (185/228) | 60% (50/84) |
Crosses |
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35% (6/17) | 0% (0/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.93 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 8 |
Fouls |
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10 | 10 |
Tackles |
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79% (15/19) | 56% (5/9) |
Duels won |
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47 | 39 |
Clearances |
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24 | 20 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.04 | 3.11 |
Goals prevented |
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0.04 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Mazraoui N. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
- 45+1', Martinez E. 🟥,
- 45+1', Diallo A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Asensio M. ↓, Olsen R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Dalot D. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
- 62', McGinn J. ↓, Tielemans Y. ↑,
- 63', Onana A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
- 67', Heaven A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 67', Mount M. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
- 73', Kamara B. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Diallo A. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
- 81', Rogers M. 🟨,
- 81', Hojlund R. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
- 84', Kamara B. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
- 84', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Eriksen C. (Pen),
- 90+4', Casemiro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manchester United 20.9% | Draw 22.4% | Aston Villa 56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester United's form might have worsened.Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manchester United - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.62 ↑ (3.55) |
4.3 ↑ (3.78) |
1.7 ↓ (2.03) |
3.8% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Manchester United - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
Aston Villa will win
(120 of 133 users predict this - 90.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.18% – 95.28%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.
- Man Utd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li.
(Knee Injury)
de Ligt M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Rashford M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Aston Villa?
Manchester United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester United?
Aston Villa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Aston Villa were as follows:
06.10.2024
Aston Villa
-
Manchester United
0:0
11.02.2024
Aston Villa
-
Manchester United
1:2
26.12.2023
Manchester United
-
Aston Villa
3:2
10.11.2022
Manchester United
-
Aston Villa
4:2
06.11.2022
Aston Villa
-
Manchester United
3:1
Latest results of Manchester United
Latest results of Aston Villa
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Manchester Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wolves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Nottingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship