Manchester United vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3, CANAL+ France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.081.03
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
62
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
66
Passes
85% (409/479)85% (360/426)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.081.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.84
Total shots
169
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2131
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
11
Free kicks
510
Passes
85% (409/479)85% (360/426)
Long passes
49% (22/45)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
75% (108/144)76% (111/146)
Crosses
10% (2/21)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.65
Throw ins
1111
Fouls
105
Tackles
50% (9/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.842.18
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 60', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 60', Watkins O. , Abraham T. ,
  • 61', McGinn J. , Bailey L. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Barkley R. ,
  • 69', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Cunha M. , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 72', Yoro L. 🟨,
  • 75', Mbeumo B. , Sesko B. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Sesko B. ,
  • 82', Barkley R. , Douglas Luiz ,
  • 82', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 86', Buendia E. , Garcia A. ,
  • 90+1', Casemiro , Ugarte M. ,
  • 90+6', Maguire H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
55.3%
Draw
23.6%
Aston Villa
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 22% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 21.8% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Manchester United - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.76)
    4.06
    (4.36)
    4.54
    (4.1)
    4.1%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Aston Villa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Aston Villa (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Aston Villa (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Man Utd (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Man Utd (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (55 of 68 users predict this - 80.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.53%90.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester United will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.
    • Man Utd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aston Villa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Sancho J. (Loan agreement) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Cash M. (Knock) Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Aston Villa were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2:1
    25.05.2025 Manchester United - Aston Villa 2:0
    06.10.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 0:0
    11.02.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 1:2
    26.12.2023 Manchester United - Aston Villa 3:2
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship