Atalanta vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

Serie A - Round 13
Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	1.35
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
21	15
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
85% (365/427)	83% (386/466)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	0.68
Total shots
21	15
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
15	13
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
41	20
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
85% (365/427)	83% (386/466)
Long passes
49% (25/51)	45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)	57% (54/94)
Crosses
57% (8/14)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	0.83
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
43% (6/14)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
43	40
Clearances
19	14
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
0.68	1.88
Goals prevented
0.68	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Kossounou O. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽,
59', Pongracic M. 🟨,
64', Fagioli N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
64', Dodo ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
67', Zappacosta D. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
67', Ederson ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
69', Mari P. 🟨,
71', Mandragora R. 🟨,
75', Mari P. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
77', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
77', Lookman A. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
79', Piccoli R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
79', Sohm S. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
84', Hien I. 🟨,
86', Hien I. ↓, Kolasinac S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
57.6%

Draw
24.2%

Fiorentina
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

19.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5%)

Atalanta - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.98 ↑ (3.97)	5.28 ↑ (5.07)	3.7% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 48 - 71.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 13.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 60.8% – 82.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Atalanta (1.88) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
Recent performances by Atalanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Atalanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Atalanta has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atalanta is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atalanta: Scalvini G. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Dodo (Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Fiorentina?

Atalanta has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Atalanta?

Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Fiorentina were as follows:

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0

15.09.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 3:2

02.06.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:3

24.04.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 4:1

03.04.2024 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0

Latest results of Atalanta

26.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Atalanta 0:3 ✺

22.11.2025 Napoli - Atalanta 3:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3 ✺

05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Udinese - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B