Atalanta vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atalanta
55.8%
Draw
24.3%
Fiorentina
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24.1% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 19.6% 23.2%

Atalanta - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.68)
3.98
(3.97)
4.85
(5.07)
4.1%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 49.7%86.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
    • In recent matches, Atalanta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atalanta has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atalanta is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Fiorentina were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    15.09.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 3:2
    02.06.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:3
    24.04.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 4:1
    03.04.2024 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    Latest results of Atalanta
    22.11.2025 Napoli - Atalanta 3:1
    09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3
    01.11.2025 Udinese - Atalanta 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1
    22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1
    09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B