Atalanta vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
4:0
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 22
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.071.38
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
92
Big chances
73
Corner kicks
69
Passes
85% (365/429)82% (372/452)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
4.071.38
xG on target (xGOT)
3.870.94
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
95
Shots inside the box
159
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
73
Corner kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
4522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
814
Passes
85% (365/429)82% (372/452)
Long passes
53% (26/49)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
83% (94/113)58% (68/117)
Crosses
17% (4/23)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
2.351.43
Throw ins
1118
Fouls
148
Tackles
40% (4/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3547
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.943.87
Goals prevented
0.94-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', 2 - 0, De Roon M. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Benedyczak A. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
  • 46', Circati A. ↓, Valeri E. ↑,
  • 46', Estevez N. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
  • 46', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
  • 53', Scamacca G. 🟨,
  • 60', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
  • 60', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
  • 64', Sorensen O. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
  • 72', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Raspadori G. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
  • 78', De Roon M. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
  • 85', Keita M. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
67.8%		Draw
20.1%		Parma
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 19.9% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 19.1% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Parma aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Atalanta - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41
    (1.41)    		 4.78 ↓
    (4.79)    		 7.86 ↑
    (7.56)    		 4.5%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 57.5% – 87.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Parma (6.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atalanta (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Atalanta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Parma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
    • Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atalanta is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Bellanova R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 2.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Parma were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1
    25.05.2025 Atalanta - Parma 2:3
    23.11.2024 Parma - Atalanta 1:3
    04.08.2024 Parma - Atalanta 4:1
    Latest results of Atalanta
    21.01.2026 Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao 2:3 ✺
    16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2:0 ✺
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Atalanta - Roma 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Parma
    18.01.2026 Parma - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Napoli - Parma 0:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Lecce - Parma 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Parma - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Sassuolo - Parma 1:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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