Atalanta vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Atalanta - Parma
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport News
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
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brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.81
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (404/471)85% (355/420)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.923.31
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
77
Passes
86% (404/471)85% (355/420)
Long passes
32% (15/47)63% (38/60)
Passes in final third
80% (105/132)74% (89/120)
Crosses
18% (3/17)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.18
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
77
Tackles
57% (8/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4042
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
3.311.92
Goals prevented
0.41-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Keita M. ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Bellanova R. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Palestra M. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
  • 46', Maldini D. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
  • 46', Hernani ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
  • 46', Valeri E. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
  • 48', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Hainaut A. ⚽,
  • 55', Brescianini M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
  • 58', Sulemana I. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Ondrejka J. ⚽, Bonny A. (A),
  • 72', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
  • 78', Sohm S. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
  • 88', Bonny A. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
  • 90', Balogh B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Ondrejka J. ⚽, Bernabe A. (A),

Chances of winning


Atalanta
52.8%		Draw
25.7%		Parma
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.3% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24.2% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Atalanta - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↓
    (1.88)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.78)    		 4.45 ↑
    (4.02)    		 4.2%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Parma?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Parma (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Atalanta (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (49 of 55 users predict this - 89.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.85% – 97.33%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
    • Atalanta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atalanta is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury) Toloi R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that Atalanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Parma were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Parma - Atalanta 1:3
    04.08.2024 Parma - Atalanta 4:1
    Latest results of Atalanta
    17.05.2025 Genoa - Atalanta 2:3 ✺
    12.05.2025 Atalanta - Roma 2:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Parma
    18.05.2025 Parma - Napoli 0:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Empoli - Parma 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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