Parma vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 32
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.201.21
Ball possession
26%74%
Total shots
320
Shots on target
26
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
37
Passes
72% (178/246)92% (656/715)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.201.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.311.30
Total shots
320
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
06
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
764
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free kicks
84
Passes
72% (178/246)92% (656/715)
Long passes
28% (15/53)72% (21/29)
Passes in final third
44% (27/61)86% (293/340)
Crosses
14% (1/7)30% (11/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.072.15
Throw ins
1317
Fouls
48
Tackles
67% (10/15)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3442
Clearances
3815
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.300.31
Goals prevented
0.30-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Strefezza G. , Elphege N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Juan Jesus , Beukema S. ,
  • 56', Anguissa F. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 59', Elphege N. , Sorensen O. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, McTominay S. , Hojlund R. (A),
  • 66', Hojlund R. , Giovane ,
  • 66', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Estevez N. ,
  • 67', Bernabe A. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 72', Strefezza G. , Mikolajewski D. ,
  • 78', De Bruyne K. , Elmas E. ,
  • 79', Politano M. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 83', Circati A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Parma
14.4%
Draw
24.9%
Napoli
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 25.6% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 24.9% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Parma - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.68
    (5.42)
    3.84
    (3.72)
    1.59
    (1.67)
    4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Parma - Napoli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.75 - Napoli (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.48%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
    • Parma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Napoli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Pellegrino M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Rrahmani A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Napoli were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Napoli - Parma 0:0
    18.05.2025 Parma - Napoli 0:0
    31.08.2024 Napoli - Parma 2:1
    Latest results of Parma
    04.04.2026 Lazio - Parma 1:1
    21.03.2026 Parma - Cremonese 0:2
    13.03.2026 Torino - Parma 4:1
    08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    27.02.2026 Parma - Cagliari 1:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    06.04.2026 Napoli - Milan 1:0
    20.03.2026 Cagliari - Napoli 0:1
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1
    06.03.2026 Napoli - Torino 2:1
    28.02.2026 Verona - Napoli 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 35264582:315182
    2Napoli35217752:331970
    3AC Milan351910648:291967
    4Juventus351811658:302865
    5Como351711759:283162
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta351413847:321555
    8Bologna351471442:41149
    9Sassuolo351471443:44-149
    10Lazio3412121037:33448
    11Udinese351381443:46-347
    12Parma3510121325:42-1742
    13Torino351181639:58-1941
    14Genoa3510101540:48-840
    15Cagliari359101636:49-1337
    16Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    17Lecce35881924:47-2332
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona ✔ 353112124:57-3320
    20Pisa ✔ 352122125:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Verona is Relegated to Serie B
    Pisa is Relegated to Serie B