Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:0
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 2, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.05
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (185/252)87% (596/684)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.76
Total shots
918
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
610
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
313
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1130
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
421
Passes
73% (185/252)87% (596/684)
Long passes
45% (19/42)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
68% (76/112)75% (89/119)
Crosses
6% (1/17)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.15
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
214
Tackles
46% (11/24)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4960
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.760.77
Goals prevented
1.760.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 30', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marquinhos ↓, Zabarnyi I. ↑,
  • 48', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 62', Mayulu S. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
  • 62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
  • 73', Sancet O. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
  • 73', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
  • 73', Jauregizar M. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
  • 78', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 78', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gomez U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
21.6%		Draw
24.7%		Paris Saint-Germain
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 22.8% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 22.4% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Athletic Bilbao - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.46 ↓
    (5.43)    		 3.87 ↓
    (4.2)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.61)    		 4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - PSG (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Athletic (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Athletic (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Athletic (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - PSG (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (86 of 102 users predict this - 84.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 91.37%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (42 of 45 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 52 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 5 - 9.6%). PSG (votes: 45 - 86.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSG is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Paredes A. (Yellow Cards) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Beraldo L. (Calf Injury) Chevalier L. (Ankle Injury) Dembele O. (Illness) Hakimi A. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Navarro R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    06.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    03.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Levante - Athletic Bilbao 0:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Slavia Prague - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    06.12.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes 5:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺
    26.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur 5:3 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 3:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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