Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao
Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 34
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.17
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
81% (406/503)74% (260/352)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.01
Total shots
123
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
81% (406/503)74% (260/352)
Long passes
45% (25/55)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
46% (38/82)51% (39/76)
Crosses
20% (4/20)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.38
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1813
Tackles
60% (12/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6654
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.010.28
Goals prevented
0.010.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Marin P. 🟨,
  • 62', Williams I. , Djalo A. ,
  • 62', Guruzeta G. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 62', Mendez B. , Sucic L. ,
  • 62', Gomez S. , Barrenetxea A. ,
  • 62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Jauregizar M. ,
  • 74', Traore H. , Aramburu J. ,
  • 74', Prados Diaz B. , Vesga M. ,
  • 78', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
  • 82', Gomez U. , Boiro A. ,
  • 82', Kubo T. , Becker S. ,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
38.2%
Draw
32.6%
Athletic Bilbao
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.9% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 30.4% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    2.94
    (3.22)
    3.33
    (3.16)
    3.9%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 29 - 50%). Athletic will win (votes: 8 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 36.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 37.1%62.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 40%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of home games.
    • Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Zakharyan A. (Thigh Injury) Zubeldia I. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 1:0
    13.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 2:1
    30.09.2023 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:0
    15.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 2:0
    14.01.2023 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2