Vila Nova vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 25
  • Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.55
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
74% (243/330)85% (381/446)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.90
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1110
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
119
Passes
74% (243/330)85% (381/446)
Long passes
41% (28/68)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
63% (71/113)74% (75/102)
Crosses
35% (7/20)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.36
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1012
Tackles
43% (6/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4053
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.900.99
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Sandry 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Junior Todinho , Dodo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nathan Melo , Miticov ,
  • 46', Joao Miguel , Luiz Filipe ,
  • 48', Elias 🟨,
  • 63', Douglas Pele , Welinton Torrao ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Tavares R. , Welinton Torrao (A),
  • 72', Max , Wesley Gasolina ,
  • 75', Bruno Mendes , Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 75', Guilherme Parede , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 75', Junior Todinho , Andre Luis ,
  • 85', Igor Henrique , Enzo ,
  • 90', Tavares R. , Neto Costa ,
  • 90', Alex Nascimento , Jhonatan Silva ,
  • 90+1', David Braga 🟨,
  • 90+5', Luiz Filipe 🟨,
  • 90+9', Welinton Torrao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
42.1%
Draw
32%
Athletic Club
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.9% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 26.8% 20.4%

Vila Nova - Athletic Club Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(1.82)
2.94
(3.33)
3.63
(4.38)
6.7%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Athletic Club were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Athletic Club - Vila Nova 0:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2
    25.08.2025 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 2:0
    16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0
    11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba381911839:231668
    2Athletico-PR381981153:431065
    3Chapecoense-SC381881252:351762
    4Remo381614851:391262
    5Criciuma3817101147:331461
    6Goias3817101142:37561
    7Novorizontino381515843:321160
    8CRB381681445:40556
    9Avai3814141050:401056
    10Cuiaba3814121243:44-154
    11Atletico GO3813131239:38152
    12Operario-PR3812121440:44-448
    13Vila Nova FC3811141340:44-447
    14America MG3812101641:44-346
    15Athletic Club381281843:53-1044
    16Botafogo SP3810121632:52-2042
    17Ferroviaria388161443:52-940
    18Amazonas388121838:55-1736
    19Volta Redonda388121826:43-1736
    20Paysandu PA385132036:52-1628

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