Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 6
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.93 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
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50% | 50% |
Total shots |
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14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Passes |
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80% (287/360) | 81% (304/376) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.93 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.09 | 0.54 |
Total shots |
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14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 12 |
Passes |
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80% (287/360) | 81% (304/376) |
Long passes |
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53% (29/55) | 37% (17/46) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (108/149) | 64% (42/66) |
Crosses |
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39% (12/31) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.38 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
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34 | 18 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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80% (16/20) | 76% (16/21) |
Duels won |
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59 | 60 |
Clearances |
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23 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.54 | 0.09 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.19 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Elias 🟨,
- 24', Matheus Guilherme ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 33', Douglas Pele 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Diego Torres ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 57', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 64', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 64', Joao Vieira ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Silva ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 71', Ezequiel ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 71', Max ↓, Caick ↑,
- 77', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 83', Arilson 🟨,
- 83', Neto Costa ↓, Lincoln ↑,
- 89', David Braga 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽, Gustavo Paje (A),
Chances of winning
Athletic Club 37.1% | Draw 32% | Vila Nova 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Athletic Club - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↑ (2.26) |
2.92 ↓ (3.11) |
3.06 ↓ (3.29) |
6.8% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5).
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vila Nova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Athletic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletic: Martinez F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alason Carioca
(Injury)
Wesley Gasolina
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Vila Nova?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletic Club?
Vila Nova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Vila Nova were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
3 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 35 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Cuiaba | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
7 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Avai | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
12 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
13 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
14 | Atletico GO | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )