Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 6
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/360) | 81% (304/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/360) | 81% (304/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (108/149) | 64% (42/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Elias 🟨,
- 24', Matheus Guilherme ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 33', Douglas Pele 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Diego Torres ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 57', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 64', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 64', Joao Vieira ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Silva ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 71', Ezequiel ↓, David Braga ↑,
- 71', Max ↓, Caick ↑,
- 77', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 83', Arilson 🟨,
- 83', Neto Costa ↓, Lincoln ↑,
- 89', David Braga 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽, Gustavo Paje (A),
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
37.1% | Draw
32% | Vila Nova
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Athletic Club - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.26) |
2.92 ↓
(3.11) |
3.06 ↓
(3.29) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5).
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vila Nova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Athletic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletic: Martinez F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alason Carioca
(Injury)
Wesley Gasolina
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Vila Nova?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletic Club?
Vila Nova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Vila Nova were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 10 | CRB | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 25 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20:27 | -7 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
