América Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 19
Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.92
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
77% (353/456)	79% (314/396)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.10	0.69
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
16	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
77% (353/456)	79% (314/396)
Long passes
41% (32/78)	43% (35/81)
Passes in final third
57% (71/125)	62% (69/111)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.34	0.39
Throw-ins
26	10
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
47% (8/17)	70% (14/20)
Duels won
44	55
Clearances
11	26
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.69	2.10
Goals prevented
-1.31	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Mendoza S. (A),
41', Mariano 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Miqueias (A),
64', Leo Derik ↓, Arthur Dias ↑,
64', Felipinho ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ⚽,
71', Heber ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
71', Guilherme Pato ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
71', Marlon ↓, Dalbert ↑,
74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
80', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
86', Lucao 🟨,
86', Moraes K. ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ⚽,

Chances of winning

América Mineiro
37.9%

Draw
30.6%

Athletico Paranaense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	7.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?

Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Fabinho (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive)
There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa (Injury)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive) Luiz Fernando (Injury) Palacios H. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?

América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against América Mineiro?

Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

25.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro 3:2

11.06.2023 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2

Latest results of América Mineiro

23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

20.07.2025 América Mineiro - Chapecoense 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

07.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletic Club 0:1 ✺

26.06.2025 CRB Maceio - América Mineiro 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense 3:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Goiás 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Avaí - Athletico Paranaense 1:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	34	17	9	8	35:21	14	60
2	Remo	34	15	12	7	45:33	12	57
3	Goias	34	15	10	9	39:33	6	55
4	Novorizontino	34	14	13	7	37:28	9	55
5	Chapecoense-SC	33	16	6	11	47:32	15	54
6	Criciuma	34	15	9	10	44:32	12	54
7	Athletico-PR	33	14	8	11	45:42	3	50
8	Cuiaba	34	13	11	10	41:40	1	50
9	CRB	33	14	6	13	39:34	5	48
10	Avai	34	12	12	10	43:36	7	48
11	Atletico GO	33	12	12	9	36:33	3	48
12	Vila Nova FC	33	11	10	12	32:34	-2	43
13	Operario-PR	33	11	9	13	34:37	-3	42
14	America MG	34	11	8	15	37:40	-3	41
15	Ferroviaria	33	8	14	11	38:44	-6	38
16	Athletic Club	34	10	7	17	38:49	-11	37
17	Botafogo SP	34	8	11	15	30:50	-20	35
18	Volta Redonda	34	8	10	16	23:37	-14	34
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	34	5	12	17	31:44	-13	27

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )