Athletico Paranaense vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ligga Arena (Curitiba).

Serie B Superbet - Round 38
Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	1.17
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
88% (309/353)	86% (337/393)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	0.03
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
19	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	5
Passes
88% (309/353)	86% (337/393)
Long passes
55% (23/42)	64% (35/55)
Passes in final third
69% (51/74)	69% (58/84)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.76
Throw-ins
23	23
Fouls
5	12
Tackles
70% (14/20)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
39	35
Clearances
27	21
Interceptions
12	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.03	0.67
Goals prevented
0.03	-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Thauan 🟨,
40', Emerson Santos 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽, Viveros K. (A),
45+2', Willian Bigode 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Yago Santos ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
70', Joao Cruz 🟨,
70', Gustavo 🟨,
74', Joao Cruz ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
75', Emerson Santos ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
83', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
83', Julimar ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
87', Willian Bigode ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
87', Julio Cesar ↓, Samuel ↑,
87', Thauan ↓, David da Hora ↑,
90', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
90', Zapelli B. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Athletico Paranaense
64.1%

Draw
23.2%

América Mineiro
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.5%

12.2%

Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.1 ↓ (4.11)	7.72 ↑ (7.22)	6% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - América MG (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
Athletico PR has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
América MG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Benavidez G. (Yellow Cards) Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Esquivel L. (Inactive) Isaac (Knee Injury) Leozinho (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Aloisio (Thigh Injury) Heber (Inactive) Maguinho (Pelvis Injury) Marlon (Inactive) Ortiz C. (Inactive) Yago Souza (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Leo Derik (Injury)
There are questionable in América MG: Fabinho (Inactive)
We predict that Athletico PR will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against América Mineiro?

Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?

América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro were as follows:

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2

25.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro 3:2

11.06.2023 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

16.11.2025 Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense 1:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Goiás - Athletico Paranaense 0:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Amazonas 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0 ✺

Latest results of América Mineiro

16.11.2025 América Mineiro - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

10.11.2025 Chapecoense - América Mineiro 0:1 ✺

03.11.2025 América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 América Mineiro - CRB Maceio 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )