Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 19
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (353/456) | 79% (314/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (353/456) | 79% (314/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/78) | 43% (35/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (71/125) | 62% (69/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Mendoza S. (A),
- 41', Mariano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Miqueias (A),
- 64', Leo Derik ↓, Arthur Dias ↑,
- 64', Felipinho ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ⚽,
- 71', Heber ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
- 71', Guilherme Pato ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 71', Marlon ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
- 80', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 86', Lucao 🟨,
- 86', Moraes K. ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
- 90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ⚽,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
37.9% | Draw
30.6% | Athletico Paranaense
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.3) |
3.02 ↓
(3.1) |
2.98 ↓
(3.05) |
7.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Red Card)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against América Mineiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
25.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
América Mineiro
3:2
11.06.2023
América Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
