América Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense
Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.69
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Long passes
41% (32/78)43% (35/81)
Passes in final third
57% (71/125)62% (69/111)
Crosses
27% (7/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.39
Throw-ins
2610
Fouls
1317
Tackles
47% (8/17)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4455
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.692.10
Goals prevented
-1.31-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. , Mendoza S. (A),
  • 41', Mariano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Labandeira F. , Stenio ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Marlon , Miqueias (A),
  • 64', Leo Derik , Arthur Dias ,
  • 64', Felipinho , Diogo Riquelme ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ,
  • 71', Heber , Willian Bigode ,
  • 71', Guilherme Pato , Ortiz C. ,
  • 71', Marlon , Dalbert ,
  • 74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
  • 80', Zapelli B. , Isaac ,
  • 86', Lucao 🟨,
  • 86', Moraes K. , Benavidez G. ,
  • 90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
37.9%
Draw
30.6%
Athletico Paranaense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.3)
    3.02
    (3.1)
    2.98
    (3.05)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Fabinho (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive) Luiz Fernando (Injury) Palacios H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    25.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro 3:2
    11.06.2023 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Goias341510939:33655
    4Novorizontino341413737:28955
    5Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    6Criciuma341591044:321254
    7Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    8Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Avai3412121043:36748
    11Atletico GO331212936:33348
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria338141138:44-638
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA345121731:44-1327

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )