América Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense
Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.69
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Long passes
41% (32/78)43% (35/81)
Passes in final third
57% (71/125)62% (69/111)
Crosses
27% (7/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.39
Throw-ins
2610
Fouls
1317
Tackles
47% (8/17)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4455
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.692.10
Goals prevented
-1.31-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. , Mendoza S. (A),
  • 41', Mariano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Labandeira F. , Stenio ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Marlon , Miqueias (A),
  • 64', Leo Derik , Arthur Dias ,
  • 64', Felipinho , Diogo Riquelme ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ,
  • 71', Heber , Willian Bigode ,
  • 71', Guilherme Pato , Ortiz C. ,
  • 71', Marlon , Dalbert ,
  • 74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
  • 80', Zapelli B. , Isaac ,
  • 86', Lucao 🟨,
  • 86', Moraes K. , Benavidez G. ,
  • 90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
37.9%
Draw
30.6%
Athletico Paranaense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.3)
    3.02
    (3.1)
    2.98
    (3.05)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Fabinho (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive) Luiz Fernando (Injury) Palacios H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    25.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro 3:2
    11.06.2023 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias22125528:20841
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo22810424:20434
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB2294924:21331
    11Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    12Operario-PR2276923:22127
    13Athletico-PR2276928:32-427
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )