Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 19
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.44 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
77% (353/456) | 79% (314/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.44 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.10 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
77% (353/456) | 79% (314/396) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (32/78) | 43% (35/81) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (71/125) | 62% (69/111) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (7/26) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.34 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 2.10 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.31 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Mendoza S. (A),
- 41', Mariano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Miqueias (A),
- 64', Leo Derik ↓, Arthur Dias ↑,
- 64', Felipinho ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ⚽,
- 71', Heber ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
- 71', Guilherme Pato ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 71', Marlon ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
- 80', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 86', Lucao 🟨,
- 86', Moraes K. ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
- 90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ⚽,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 37.9% | Draw 30.6% | Athletico Paranaense 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↑ (2.3) |
3.02 ↓ (3.1) |
2.98 ↓ (3.05) |
7.4% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Red Card)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against América Mineiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
25.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
América Mineiro
3:2
11.06.2023
América Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
10 | CRB | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:21 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )