América Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense
Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.69
Total shots
119
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
77% (353/456)79% (314/396)
Long passes
41% (32/78)43% (35/81)
Passes in final third
57% (71/125)62% (69/111)
Crosses
27% (7/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.39
Throw-ins
2610
Fouls
1317
Tackles
47% (8/17)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4455
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.692.10
Goals prevented
-1.31-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. , Mendoza S. (A),
  • 41', Mariano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Labandeira F. , Stenio ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Marlon , Miqueias (A),
  • 64', Leo Derik , Arthur Dias ,
  • 64', Felipinho , Diogo Riquelme ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ,
  • 71', Heber , Willian Bigode ,
  • 71', Guilherme Pato , Ortiz C. ,
  • 71', Marlon , Dalbert ,
  • 74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
  • 80', Zapelli B. , Isaac ,
  • 86', Lucao 🟨,
  • 86', Moraes K. , Benavidez G. ,
  • 90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
37.9%
Draw
30.6%
Athletico Paranaense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.3)
    3.02
    (3.1)
    2.98
    (3.05)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Cauan Barros (Yellow Cards) Fabinho (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Kaua Diniz (Red Card) Renato Marques (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Injury) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques (Inactive) Luiz Fernando (Injury) Palacios H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    25.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro 3:2
    11.06.2023 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8Remo301112734:28645
    9CRB301341334:30443
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR301091131:29239
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

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