Botafogo SP vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense
Result
1:3
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 25
  • Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.11
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (302/387)78% (258/330)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.072.20
Total shots
147
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
157
Passes
78% (302/387)78% (258/330)
Long passes
38% (17/45)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
57% (52/91)55% (42/76)
Crosses
16% (3/19)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.27
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
715
Tackles
33% (5/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.201.07
Goals prevented
-0.800.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Viveros K. (Pen),
  • 41', Viveros K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Jonathan Cafu , Gabriel Barros ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Marquinho (Pen),
  • 73', Mendoza S. , Luiz Fernando ,
  • 73', Viveros K. , Alan Kardec ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Julimar ,
  • 74', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 80', Carrillo R. , Guilherme Queiroz ,
  • 81', Risso G. , Jean Victor ,
  • 81', Wesley Dias , Jhony Douglas ,
  • 82', Felipinho , Dudu Kogitzki ,
  • 84', Teran C. 🟥,
  • 87', Zapelli B. , Belezi ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Luiz Fernando ,
  • 90+12', Maciel L. , Matheus Regis ,
  • 90+14', 1 - 3, Dudu Kogitzki ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
16.7%
Draw
30.6%
Athletico Paranaense
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 30.8% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 30.4% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.
  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.17
    (4.07)
    3.28
    (3.05)
    1.89
    (2.05)
    -0.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
    • Botafogo SP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Inactive) Ericson (Injury) Gabriel Bispo (Yellow Cards) Leo Gamalho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Inactive) Isaac (Inactive) Leo (Inactive) Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Leozinho (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo SP 1:4
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    30.08.2025 Goiás - Botafogo SP 2:3
    25.08.2025 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 2:0
    16.08.2025 Remo - Botafogo SP 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Coritiba28138728:19947
    4Novorizontino281210631:25646
    5Athletico-PR28136942:36645
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR28109931:27439
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

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